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Maybe I'm stubborn, maybe I'm idealistic, but I want to share my ideas about some things in the world.
If you're not into philosophical bladder, please click the back button of your browser, because there will be a lot of it in this blog.
Get real!
If you're not into philosophical bladder, please click the back button of your browser, because there will be a lot of it in this blog.
Get real!
Chance
Posted 08-10-2008 at 12:43 AM by Vent
~introduction~
Stop thinking! Hammer time! ok now start following this:
- you throw a coin into the air 10 times
- the chance that it falls on either side is roughly 50%
- yet you get a score of 10-0
- you think it's normal, since a chance is a chance
Just think about it. What doesn't make sense here? Why do we have something called chance in the first place if we can completely ignore it and just call it coincidence?
~phenomenon called 'chance'~
Define chance and you'll get something like 'a random occurrence'. Heh, yeah right. So how do we know when this 'random' will occur? Obviously, one would answer that question with another chance, since random is a matter of chance too.
You'll realize that the word 'chance' doesn't make sense. Why do we have something called chance? Actually, it's the same reason why men invented God; to explain things they don't know the cause of. Simply put, it's assumation we make, because we don't know or not sure of the truth. Why else do people think a coin should fall with its heaviers side down?
Take the example above and you'll realize our invention of chance is rather useless. We calculated a chance of 50%, yet we never or barely ever get that score. Why I ask? Your answer: "there are many other factors out there, like how hard you throw the coin up."
Yes that's true, but what was chance again? A random occurrence you say? What's so random if you can calculate it?
You get it? There isn't something that is called chance. It's simply an assumption of the unknown or yet unknown.
So there isn't something called chance in the daily life, but let's look at the bigger picture. If there isn't something called chance in daily life that means there shouldn't be chance in nature itself. Is that true? Well yes. Let's assume something first thoug, let's assume that you can't keep splitting material into smaller parts. In the end, you'll get the smallest unseparateable part. The part that the Greece thought was the 'atom'. What do we know about atoms and material in general? They're predictable. We can calculate what will happen if they come into contact.
~ergo~
So what does the above mean? It means that there's something called fate, or destiny. The future is 'written'. You can literally KNOW the future if you take all the unseparateable particles that exist and calculate them in the ultimate model. A model that knows the future.
You see we came a huge way. From tossing a coin to knowing the future. All because of a single term and a thread of logic to follow.
Stop thinking! Hammer time! ok now start following this:
- you throw a coin into the air 10 times
- the chance that it falls on either side is roughly 50%
- yet you get a score of 10-0
- you think it's normal, since a chance is a chance
Just think about it. What doesn't make sense here? Why do we have something called chance in the first place if we can completely ignore it and just call it coincidence?
~phenomenon called 'chance'~
Define chance and you'll get something like 'a random occurrence'. Heh, yeah right. So how do we know when this 'random' will occur? Obviously, one would answer that question with another chance, since random is a matter of chance too.
You'll realize that the word 'chance' doesn't make sense. Why do we have something called chance? Actually, it's the same reason why men invented God; to explain things they don't know the cause of. Simply put, it's assumation we make, because we don't know or not sure of the truth. Why else do people think a coin should fall with its heaviers side down?
Take the example above and you'll realize our invention of chance is rather useless. We calculated a chance of 50%, yet we never or barely ever get that score. Why I ask? Your answer: "there are many other factors out there, like how hard you throw the coin up."
Yes that's true, but what was chance again? A random occurrence you say? What's so random if you can calculate it?
You get it? There isn't something that is called chance. It's simply an assumption of the unknown or yet unknown.
So there isn't something called chance in the daily life, but let's look at the bigger picture. If there isn't something called chance in daily life that means there shouldn't be chance in nature itself. Is that true? Well yes. Let's assume something first thoug, let's assume that you can't keep splitting material into smaller parts. In the end, you'll get the smallest unseparateable part. The part that the Greece thought was the 'atom'. What do we know about atoms and material in general? They're predictable. We can calculate what will happen if they come into contact.
~ergo~
So what does the above mean? It means that there's something called fate, or destiny. The future is 'written'. You can literally KNOW the future if you take all the unseparateable particles that exist and calculate them in the ultimate model. A model that knows the future.
You see we came a huge way. From tossing a coin to knowing the future. All because of a single term and a thread of logic to follow.
Total Comments 1
Comments
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Huh, that's interesting. Still, I don't exactly see the point in your first argument. In a coin toss, there is still a probability that the 10 flips will result in all heads or all tails; it'd just be .5^10.
That aside, what you're saying about chance, that is very true, yes? Probabilities are only applicable in "ideal scenarios", which are never attained in life, since as you said, there are various factors that all lead to various outcomes: weight distribution, flipping strength, distance coin is allowed to fall, etc...
While theoretically, the results can be calculated, the realm of such calculations falls into chaos theory. From what little I know if it, such theory is based on all scenarios in which a very slight change in the starting variables leads to a very drastic change in the ending variable.
The first example that comes to mind is the Mandelbrot Set, which you can Google if you haven't heard about it. Chaos systems are complex enough when only a few variables are involved, with the understanding that society has of it now, though I believe that chaos theory is also blossoming rapidly. It's the new frontier of sorts for mathematicians.
Anyway, I think it is being used right now for predicting weather, at the very least, so, yeah! I'm not sure what the purpose of all my typing was. I suppose it was just ramblings and thoughts in response to your blog.Posted 08-31-2008 at 01:42 AM by pernicion
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